On Monday 17 August 2026, Nice play Lorient in Ligue 1. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -204 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.75 Goal Handicap (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As we dive into Saturday's matchup between Nice and Lorient, the trends suggest a compelling case for backing Lorient with a 0.75 handicap. Nice is struggling at home, with a dismal record of 0-4-1 in their last five matches, averaging just 0.4 goals scored per game at home. Their attack seems toothless, producing a mere 3 shots on target per game, while conceding an average of 2 goals. Meanwhile, Lorient has been finding their stride, scoring twice a game in their recent outings and showing resilience away from home. With a solid xG of 0 in their last fixtures, both teams seem to be lacking in firepower, but Lorient's recent form and Nice's home woes tilt the scales in favor of the visitors. Expect Lorient to capitalize on Nice's struggles and cover that handicap comfortably.
Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.5 Goal Handicap (-149)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Nice prepares to host Lorient, the stats paint a troubling picture for the home side. With just one win in their last five matches, Nice is struggling to find the back of the net, averaging a mere 0.4 goals at home. In contrast, Lorient has shown resilience, managing a couple of wins and averaging 1.4 goals away from home, which highlights their ability to capitalize on defensive weaknesses. Despite both teams having low expected goals (xG), Lorient's attacking prowess and recent form outweigh Nice’s home struggles. Plus, Nice has conceded an average of 2 goals per home game recently, while Lorient's away form demonstrates they can put up a fight. Given the current trends, backing Lorient with a 0.5 handicap feels like a savvy move, as they look poised to continue their upward trajectory against a faltering Nice side.
Nice vs Lorient: Lorient +0.25 Goal Handicap (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Nice prepares to host Lorient, the recent form of both teams paints a clear picture. Nice is struggling at home, with an alarming record of four losses in their last five matches, averaging just 0.4 goals scored per game. Their last few outings have seen them unable to convert chances, reflected in a woeful xG average of zero at home. Meanwhile, Lorient has shown a bit more resilience, managing to pick up two wins in their last five, scoring an average of 1.4 goals in away matches. Their attacking stats suggest they can exploit Nice’s defensive frailty. With Lorient historically performing well against Nice—winning three of their last five encounters—betting on Lorient with a 0.25 handicap looks like a savvy move. They have the momentum and capability to outplay a Nice side that seems to be lacking in both confidence and firepower.
That is how our model reads Nice v Lorient. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article