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The latest Bet Better model pick for Christian Dvorak is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:15PM UTC
NHL

Christian Dvorak

Philadelphia Flyers

Value call

Christian Dvorak (Philadelphia Flyers) has one live pick today: Shots on Goal Over 3.5 that pays $1,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 3.5 +1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
Value call
Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay, FUT · Indoor
Mon 5 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
1.4 Shots on Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 10.7% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap +1.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal10.7%—9.1%9.34+1.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers: Christian Dvorak Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+1000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Christian Dvorak to get over 3.5 shots on goal tonight, he needs to be active and find chances against the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Lightning have a solid defense, but Dvorak has been known to step up when it matters, especially against teams that allow a good number of shots. The Lightning have won 5 of their last 10 games, showing they can score, but the Flyers are struggling, winning only 1 of their last 10. With the Flyers needing to make a push, they might play more aggressively, giving Dvorak more chances. The risk here is that the Lightning's defense could limit those opportunities, but Dvorak's skill makes this bet an interesting pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Christian Dvorak has 2 goals and 4 assists (6 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
3 Oct 26vs CAR0111214:29
1 Oct 26@ NJD0001120:45
30 Sep 26vs PIT0002214:58
13 Apr 26vs CAR0000017:32
11 Apr 26@ WPG0112115:36
9 Apr 26@ DET1012018:39
7 Apr 26@ NJD0003117:52
5 Apr 26vs BOS1121120:04
3 Apr 26@ NYI0003017:18
2 Apr 26vs DET0110019:25
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Christian Dvorak (Philadelphia Flyers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Christian Dvorak is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday 5 October at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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