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NHL

Thatcher Demko

Vancouver Canucks

+2.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Saves Over 22.5 -125 (1.80)
+2.2% Edge
Vancouver Canucks @ Philadelphia Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Tue 23 Dec, 12:30AM
Model Probability
57.7%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
24.5 Saves

AI Analysis

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Thatcher Demko (Vancouver Canucks) Over 22.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Looking at Thatcher Demko's performance in his last five away games, he averages 23.8 saves per game, which is higher than the proposed line of 22.5 saves. His current away games hit streak is 12, meaning he consistently demonstrates a high save rate. Despite facing an average of 25.8 shots per game, his average goals against is only 2, indicating strong defensive performance. The model prediction for this bet is 24.5, further suggesting Demko's likelihood to exceed the set line. While his overall save average is lower at 17.6, this is likely due to stronger defensive performances at home, which is less relevant in an away game context. In summary, Demko's strong recent performance in away games, his high save averages, and the model's prediction all suggest that betting over 22.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Dec 25 Vancouver Canucks @ Philadelphia Flyers Saves 22.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT

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