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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Thatcher Demko is Over 22.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 58%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NHL

Thatcher Demko

Vancouver Canucks

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 22.5 -125 (1.80)
+2.2% Edge
Vancouver Canucks @ Philadelphia Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, FUT · Indoor
Tue 23 Dec, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
57.7%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
24.5 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves57.7%55.6%1.73+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Thatcher Demko (Vancouver Canucks) Over 22.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Looking at Thatcher Demko's performance in his last five away games, he averages 23.8 saves per game, which is higher than the proposed line of 22.5 saves. His current away games hit streak is 12, meaning he consistently demonstrates a high save rate. Despite facing an average of 25.8 shots per game, his average goals against is only 2, indicating strong defensive performance. The model prediction for this bet is 24.5, further suggesting Demko's likelihood to exceed the set line. While his overall save average is lower at 17.6, this is likely due to stronger defensive performances at home, which is less relevant in an away game context. In summary, Demko's strong recent performance in away games, his high save averages, and the model's prediction all suggest that betting over 22.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.5projected saves (model)
Line22.5Model proj24.5Last oppPHIListed1

Thatcher Demko (Vancouver Canucks) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.5 saves against a market line of 22.5 vs PHI. 1 matchup tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Thatcher Demko (Vancouver Canucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Thatcher Demko is Over 22.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Vancouver Canucks vs Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday 23 December at Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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