Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
NHL

Matthew Knies

Toronto Maple Leafs

+3.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -189 (1.53)
+3.0% Edge
Calgary Flames @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tue 28 Oct, 10:00PM
Model Probability
68.4%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+3.0%
Predicted Value
2.7 Shots on Goal

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Matthew Knies (Toronto Maple Leafs) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Matthew Knies' performance data indicates a strong propensity for achieving over 1.5 shots on goal. Model predictions suggest an average of 2.66 shots for Knies, well above the 1.5 line. This is backed by Knies' last 5 games averages, both overall and at home, sitting at 2.2, which is consistent and higher than the betting line. Moreover, his hit rate is strong, with 7 out of the last 9 home games and 9 out of the last 11 overall exceeding the 1.5 shots mark. Despite a current hit streak of zero, the strong historical performance is promising. The standard deviation of the model prediction is 1.38, indicating some variability but still mostly above the line. Thus, the bet on Matthew Knies for Over 1.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is statistically justified.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Oct 25 Calgary Flames @ Toronto Maple Leafs Shots on Goal 1.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History