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NHL

Leo Carlsson

Anaheim Ducks

Value call

Leo Carlsson (Anaheim Ducks) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots on goal that pays $250 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
38 in 100
Predicted
1.7 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 37.9% · before adjusting for past results 48.2% · the book's price implies 40.0% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Anaheim Ducks @ New York Rangers
Madison Square Garden, New York, FUT · Indoor
Mon 19 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Leo Carlsson
over 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 +150 (2.50) · $100→$250
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 38 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$25.00 Odds+150
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Leo Carlsson is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 38 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 38%, the price says 40%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 1:39PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal48.2%37.9%40.0%2.64+8.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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New York Rangers vs Anaheim Ducks: Leo Carlsson Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+150)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Leo Carlsson to get over 2.5 shots on goal are appealing at +150. The New York Rangers are known for their strong defensive play, blocking more shots than the league average. However, they also allow plenty of opportunities, which could work in Carlsson's favor. With the Rangers landing a lot of hits each game, it creates a fast-paced environment that might lead to more chances for Carlsson to shoot. While the Anaheim Ducks have had a mixed record, they still have the talent to create scoring opportunities. The matchup is tight, and Carlsson will face a tough defense, but he has been getting his chances. If he can find the open space, he can certainly hit that mark. Just remember, the game's outcome isn't guaranteed, and Carlsson could face a strong night from the Rangers' defense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Leo Carlsson has 3 goals and 8 assists (11 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
29 Oct 26vs BUF0335022:09
27 Oct 26vs VAN1121016:10
24 Oct 26@ PHI1122020:26
22 Oct 26@ NJD0001019:13
20 Oct 26@ NYI0222020:44
19 Oct 26@ NYR0002015:09
16 Oct 26vs BOS0001120:23
13 Oct 26vs CGY1012022:18
10 Oct 26@ CGY0112120:18
9 Oct 26@ WPG0001016:25
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Oct 26 Anaheim Ducks @ New York Rangers Shots on Goal — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Boston Bruins @ Anaheim Ducks Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Leo Carlsson (Anaheim Ducks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Leo Carlsson is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Anaheim Ducks vs New York Rangers on Monday 19 October at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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