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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jakub Dobes is Over 24.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 60%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +4.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:42PM UTC
NHL

Jakub Dobes

Montreal Canadiens

+4.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 24.5 -125 (1.80)
+4.7% Edge
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens
Centre Bell, FUT · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
60.3%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+4.7%
Predicted Value
27.0 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves60.3%55.6%1.66+4.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jakub Dobes (Montreal Canadiens) Over 24.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When Jakub Dobes has his skates on home ice, you can be sure the Canadiens' netminder is going to put on a show. This guy's been a human brick wall, averaging 33.2 saves over his last five home appearances. Yes, you heard it right, 33.2 - well above the 24.5 line we're eyeing in the 'Player Total Saves' market. And it's not a fluke, folks. He's been facing a barrage of 35.2 shots per game at home, suggesting the Lightning's strike force won't be lacking in opportunities to test him. He's proven time and time again he's up to the task. Dobes is riding a five-game hit streak at home, and has hit the Over in his last eight games overall. Simply put, the kid's on fire. Betting on Dobes to make more than 24.5 saves seems like the smart play here. Don't miss out

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
27.0projected saves (model)
Line24.5Model proj27.0Last oppTBLListed9

Jakub Dobes (Montreal Canadiens) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 27.0 saves against a market line of 24.5 vs TBL. 9 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jakub Dobes (Montreal Canadiens) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jakub Dobes is Over 24.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montréal Canadiens on Thursday 9 April at Centre Bell. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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