Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Smith is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 8%, implied 2%, edge +6.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 7, 8:17PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+4500 (46.00) · $100→$4,600
+6.0% Edge
San Francisco 49ers
@
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles · Indoor
Fri 11 Sep, 12:35AM
No injury designationSeason pending
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How often this wins
8 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 8.2% · the book's price implies 2.2% · gap +6.0%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 8.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 46.00 | +6.0% |
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Xavier Smith (LA) Yes Player last td (+4500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play San Francisco 49ers in the NFL on Friday 11 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Xavier Smith (LA) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +4500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $460 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Xavier Smith's lines for Fri 11 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Xavier Smith's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Xavier Smith's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Anytime TD
+1080 best over price · 3 books
Xavier Smith's anytime td line is posted, best over price +1080 across 3 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles RamsAnytime TD +1100
Xavier Smith has a live NFL anytime td market for San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams priced at +1100.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Xavier Smith (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Smith is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.0% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams on Friday 11 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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