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NFL

Tyson Bagent

CHI

Value call

Tyson Bagent has one live pick today: under 1.5 passing touchdowns that pays $178 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
1.2 passing touchdowns
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.2% · before adjusting for past results 65.5% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap -2.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Tyson Bagent
under 1.5 passing touchdowns
Passing Touchdowns Under 1.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.80 Odds-128
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyson Bagent is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns.
On Passing Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 10:13PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,073 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Touchdowns65.5%54.2%56.2%1.91+9.3%

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AI Analysis

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Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Tyson Bagent Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-128)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tyson Bagent has been getting his feet wet as a quarterback, but he's still finding his way in the NFL. The Packers' defense is tough, especially at home, and they know how to stop the pass. With Bagent facing this challenge, it's likely that he won't throw more than one touchdown. The numbers suggest that there's a good chance he'll stay under 1.5 passing touchdowns in this game. The Bears and Packers have a close matchup, but the Packers' defense could make it tough for Bagent to find the end zone. Keep an eye on how the game unfolds, but this bet looks promising for the under.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Passing Yards5 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range99.5–124.5model over95%tips tracked5

Tyson Bagent's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Tyson Bagent average?How many rushing yards does Tyson Bagent average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Passing Touchdowns 1.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Interceptions Thrown 0.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Passing Yards (Alt) 124.5 Over -1667 ✗ MISS
04 Oct 26 New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Passing Touchdowns — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyson Bagent (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyson Bagent is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers on Sunday 11 October at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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