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NFL

Tank Bigsby

PHI

Value call

Tank Bigsby has one live pick today: over 14.5 rushing yards that pays $316 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
38 in 100
Predicted
19.1 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 38.2% · before adjusting for past results 50.2% · the book's price implies 31.7% · gap +6.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Tank Bigsby
over 14.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 +216 (3.16) · $100→$316
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 38 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$31.60 Odds+216
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tank Bigsby is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 38 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 38%, the price says 32%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:45AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)50.2%38.2%31.7%3.16+18.5%

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AI Analysis

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Tank Bigsby (PHI) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate (+216)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Eagles play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tank Bigsby (PHI) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +216 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD18 lines trackedNo line posted
25%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked18

Tank Bigsby's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 18 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 25%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards58 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over88%tips tracked58

Tank Bigsby's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 58 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Tank Bigsby average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over +216 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over +109 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards 8.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tank Bigsby (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tank Bigsby is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday 4 October at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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