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NFL

Mike Evans

SF

Value call

Mike Evans has one live pick today: under 50.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
47.4 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.8% · before adjusting for past results 61.3% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Mike Evans
under 50.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 50.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Evans is Under 50.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 10:16PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Evans (ribs) does not have an injury designation for Sunday's game against the Seahawks, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.
updated Oct 9, 9:04PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards61.3%49.8%53.2%2.00+8.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers: Mike Evans Under 50.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Mike Evans to go under 50.5 receiving yards tonight, Seattle's strong defense needs to hold him back. The Seahawks were tough against tight ends last season, giving up fewer touchdowns than most teams. With San Francisco's quarterback facing some pressure on his dropbacks, it might be harder for him to connect with Evans. While the odds look good for this bet, there is a solid chance that Evans could still have a big game. Remember, the 49ers have also been known to struggle against tight ends. That said, Seattle's defense is no joke, and they might just keep Evans below that yardage mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mike Evans's lines for Sun 11 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 50.5

Mike Evans's receiving yards line is 50.5.

Receiving Yards 49.5

Mike Evans's receiving yards line is 49.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

Mike Evans's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards 48.5

Mike Evans's receiving yards line is 48.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5

Mike Evans's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

Mike Evans's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receptions 3.5

Mike Evans's receptions line is 3.5.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Mike Evans's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards56 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–69.5model over96%tips tracked56

Mike Evans's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 56 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions40 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5model over75%tips tracked40

Mike Evans's NFL receptions prop has been priced 40 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Mike Evans average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -1250 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mike Evans (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Evans is Under 50.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 11 October at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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