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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Evans is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 43%, for a model edge of +7.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NFL

Mike Evans

TB

+7.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +135 (2.35)
+7.7% Edge
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
42.6%
Model Edge
+7.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—42.6%1.99+7.7%

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AI Analysis

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Mike Evans (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Mike Evans to score a touchdown in the upcoming Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons game might seem like a gamble given his recent performance. His overall hit rate for scoring a touchdown in the last 3, 5, and 10 games is 0/3, 0/5, and 2/10 respectively. His home hit rate is not much better either. However, when playing against the Atlanta Falcons, Evans' performance improves significantly. His hit rate against this team in the last 3, 5, and 10 games is 2/3, 2/4, and 2/4 respectively, showing that he has a good track record against them. Moreover, his hit streak against the Falcons is currently at 1, indicating that he scored in the last game against them. These statistics suggest that while Evans might not be in his best form, he tends to perform better against the Falcons and hence, could be a good bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

Mike Evans's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mike Evans (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Evans is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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