Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen McMillan is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:58PM UTC
NFL
Jalen McMillan
TB
Jalen McMillan has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $2,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+2000 (21.00) · $100→$2,100
Value call
Minnesota Vikings
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
McMillan didn't record any targets and played just seven of Tampa Bay's 65 offensive snaps in Sunday's Week 2 loss to Cleveland.
updated Sep 21, 11:53PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 11.1% · the book's price implies 4.8% · gap +6.3%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 11.1% | — | 4.8% | 21.00 | +6.3% |
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Jalen McMillan (TB) Yes Player last td (+2000)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jalen McMillan (TB) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $210 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jalen McMillan's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Jalen McMillan's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formReceptions2 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–2.5tips tracked2
Jalen McMillan's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jalen McMillan (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen McMillan is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 27 September at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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