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NFL

Jalen McMillan

TB

Value call

Jalen McMillan has one live pick today: under 16.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
14.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.0% · before adjusting for past results 72.4% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +7.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 4:05 PM ET
Jalen McMillan
under 16.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 16.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen McMillan is Under 16.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 1:49AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards72.4%61.0%53.2%2.00+19.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jalen McMillan (TB) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jalen McMillan (TB) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions5 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–2.5tips tracked5

Jalen McMillan's NFL receptions prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range12.5–16.5tips tracked6

Jalen McMillan's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards 16.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receptions 1.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards 14.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen McMillan (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen McMillan is Under 16.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 27 September at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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