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NFL

Elijah Arroyo

SEA

Value call

Elijah Arroyo has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.8% · before adjusting for past results 12.0% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap -0.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Thu 15 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Elijah Arroyo
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$110.00 Odds+1000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Arroyo is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 3:04AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD12.0%8.8%9.1%11.00+2.9%

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AI Analysis

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Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks: Elijah Arroyo Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Denver Broncos have struggled to defend against tight ends, giving up more touchdowns than many teams last season. This makes it a good chance for Elijah Arroyo to score a touchdown, especially since he might find himself in a prime spot to take advantage of that weakness. The Broncos' quarterback faced extra rushers on a good number of dropbacks, which could lead to quick throws and opportunities for Arroyo. On the flip side, the Seattle Seahawks' quarterback has also seen plenty of pressure, but Arroyo's odds are enticing at +1000. While the Broncos are at home, it's worth noting that they have only a slightly better record on grass compared to Seattle's performance on the same surface. This matchup is close, and Arroyo could be the surprise player to break through and find the end zone.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD15 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked15

Elijah Arroyo's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 15 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards7 lines trackedNo line posted
5.5typical line · receiving yds
line range5.5–59.5model over55%tips tracked7

Elijah Arroyo's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 5.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions4 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–3.5tips tracked4

Elijah Arroyo's NFL receptions prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Sep 26 New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards 7.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions 0.5 Under +161 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Elijah Arroyo (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Arroyo is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos on Thursday 15 October at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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