Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Arroyo is Under 0.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 38%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 19, 10:40PM UTC
NFL
Elijah Arroyo
SEA
Elijah Arroyo has one live pick today: Receptions Under 0.5 that pays $261 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions
Under 0.5
+161 (2.61) · $100→$261
Value call
New England Patriots
@
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Thu 10 Sep, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Arroyo wasn't targeted in Wednesday's 13-10 win over the Patriots.
updated Sep 10, 6:32PM UTC · 9d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
53 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 52.5% · before adjusting for past results 52.5% · the book's price implies 38.3% · gap +14.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 52.5% | 52.5% | 38.3% | 2.76 | +14.2% |
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Elijah Arroyo (SEA) Under 0.5 Receptions (+161)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play New England Patriots in the NFL on Thursday 10 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Elijah Arroyo (SEA) Under 0.5 Receptions. It was priced at +161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Elijah Arroyo's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted 7.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1
Elijah Arroyo's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 7.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted 0.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1
Elijah Arroyo's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receptions |
0.5 |
Under |
+161 |
✓ HIT |
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receiving Yards |
7.5 |
Under |
-110 |
✓ HIT |
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Elijah Arroyo (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Arroyo is Under 0.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.2% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks on Thursday 10 September at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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