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Durham Smythe

BAL

Value call

Durham Smythe has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,500 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.2% · before adjusting for past results 13.1% · the book's price implies 6.7% · gap +1.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Durham Smythe
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1400 (15.00) · $100→$1,500
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 8 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$150.00 Odds+1400
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Durham Smythe is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 2:53AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD13.1%8.2%6.7%15.00+6.4%

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AI Analysis

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Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans: Durham Smythe Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1200)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Baltimore Ravens have a solid offense, but their defense has been giving up a lot of yards lately, especially through the air. This could create a good opportunity for Durham Smythe, who has shown he can find the end zone when the Ravens are moving the ball well. The Titans' defense isn't great either, allowing a good number of yards on both passing and rushing plays, which means Smythe might get a chance to score. On the flip side, the Ravens have struggled a bit on grass, which could make this a tricky matchup for them. Still, at these odds, taking a shot on Smythe to score seems like a worth-it risk, especially if he gets a few solid looks in the red zone. Just remember, the game could go either way!

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Durham Smythe's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Durham Smythe (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Durham Smythe is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens on Sunday 4 October at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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