Davis Mills (HOU) Over 24.5 Player rush yds alternate (+640)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistical evidence suggests that a bet on Davis Mills to rush for over 24.5 yards in the game against the Buffalo Bills may not be favorable. In his last three, five, ten, and even twenty games, Mills has consistently failed to hit the over 24.5 rush yards mark, indicated by his low hit rates. His overall hit rate stands at a meagre 1/28, and his home game hit rate is 1/14. Even more concerning is his current streak of 0 hits both overall and at home, further emphasizing his underperformance in this specific market. Therefore, despite a model edge of 0.096, the historical data and recent performance trends of Mills indicate a low probability of him surging past the 24.5 rush yards mark.