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NFL

Dameon Pierce

PHI

Value call

Dameon Pierce has one live pick today: over 49.5 rushing yards that pays $980 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
25 in 100
Predicted
42.2 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 24.5% · before adjusting for past results 29.6% · the book's price implies 10.2% · gap +14.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Dameon Pierce
over 49.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 49.5 +880 (9.80) · $100→$980
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 25 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$98.00 Odds+880
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dameon Pierce is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 25 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 25%, the price says 10%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)29.6%24.5%10.2%9.80+19.4%

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys: Dameon Pierce Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (+880)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dameon Pierce has a chance to make a big impact in this game. The Philadelphia Eagles' defense is tough, giving up fewer touchdowns to wide receivers than any other team last season, but they can be challenged on the ground. Dallas Cowboys' quarterback faced extra rushers often, which can lead to more running plays when the passing game is under pressure. Pierce had a solid share of carries last season, even if he wasn't the focus in the passing game. The Eagles might be tough, but he has a real shot to rack up over 49.5 rushing yards here. The biggest risk is that the Eagles have a strong defense overall, which makes it tough for any running back.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions3 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5tips tracked3

Dameon Pierce's NFL receptions prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–69.5model over99%tips tracked4

Dameon Pierce's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
15%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Dameon Pierce's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 15%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Dameon Pierce average?How many receiving yards does Dameon Pierce average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles Rush + Rec Yards 71.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles Rush + Rec Yards 69.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dameon Pierce (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dameon Pierce is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.4% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles on Monday 26 October at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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