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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam West is Over 11.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:12PM UTC
NCAAF

Sam West

Mississippi State

Value call

Sam West (Mississippi State) has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Over 11.5 that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Over 11.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 26 Sep, 11:50PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
16.2 Receiving Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.0% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +10.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards60.0%—52.9%2.00+10.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/8

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers: Sam West Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 26 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Missouri Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Sam West Over 11.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Sam West finishes with more than 11.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards 11.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Sam West (Mississippi State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam West is Over 11.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.0% on this pick. Their next game is Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 26 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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