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NCAAF

Marquis Johnson

Mississippi State

Value call

Marquis Johnson (Mississippi State) has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
5.3 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.1% · before adjusting for past results 95.8% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap -3.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 24 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Marquis Johnson
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions Over 2.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09 Odds-110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marquis Johnson is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:29PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions95.8%49.1%52.4%2.04+46.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Oklahoma Sooners: Marquis Johnson Over 2.5 Receptions (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Oklahoma Sooners in college football. The bet we are looking at is Marquis Johnson Over 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Marquis Johnson finishes with more than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards 33.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receptions — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marquis Johnson (Mississippi State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marquis Johnson is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +46.6% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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