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NCAAF

Marquis Johnson

Mississippi State

Value call

Marquis Johnson (Mississippi State) has one live pick today: under 42.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
39.1 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.9% · before adjusting for past results 53.6% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 14 Nov, 4:15 PM ET
Marquis Johnson
under 42.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 42.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marquis Johnson is Under 42.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards53.6%50.9%53.2%2.00+3.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers: Marquis Johnson Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Auburn Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Marquis Johnson Under 42.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Marquis Johnson finishes with fewer than 42.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Nov 26 Vanderbilt Commodores @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receptions 3.5 Over +122 ✓ HIT
07 Nov 26 Vanderbilt Commodores @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards 36.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards 33.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receptions — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marquis Johnson (Mississippi State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marquis Johnson is Under 42.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.6% on this pick. Their next game is Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 14 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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