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NCAAF

AJ Swann

Mississippi State

Value call

AJ Swann (Mississippi State) has one live pick today: under 222.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
215.6 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.3% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +3.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 PM ET
AJ Swann
under 222.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 222.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for AJ Swann is Under 222.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 2:39PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$6,402 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards53.3%—53.2%2.00+3.3%

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers: AJ Swann Under 222.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Auburn Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is AJ Swann Under 222.5 Passing Yards. This wins if AJ Swann finishes with fewer than 222.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

AJ Swann's lines for Sat 14 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 222.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

AJ Swann's passing yards line is 222.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

AJ Swann (Mississippi State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for AJ Swann is Under 222.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 14 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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