Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Landen Thomas is Over 8.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 75%, implied 54%, edge +24.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:31AM UTC
NCAAF

Landen Thomas

Florida State

+24.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Over 8.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+24.7% Edge
SMU Mustangs @ Florida State Seminoles
Mon 7 Sep, 11:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 212 of 394 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
24.5 Receiving Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.5% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +24.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards75.5%75.5%54.1%1.97+24.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/4
Last 10 games2/4

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs: Landen Thomas Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Monday 7 September 2026, Florida State Seminoles host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Landen Thomas Over 8.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Landen Thomas finishes with more than 8.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Landen Thomas (Florida State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Landen Thomas is Over 8.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.7% on this pick. Their next game is SMU Mustangs vs Florida State Seminoles on Monday 7 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.