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NCAAF

Kamario Taylor

Mississippi State

Value call

Kamario Taylor (Mississippi State) has one live pick today: under 1.5 passing touchdowns that pays $205 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
45 in 100
Predicted
1.0 passing touchdowns
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 44.9% · before adjusting for past results 94.0% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap -3.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Kamario Taylor
under 1.5 passing touchdowns
Passing TDs Under 1.5 +105 (2.05) · $100→$205
Value call
LEANWins about 45 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.50 Odds+105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kamario Taylor is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 45%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 10:58PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs94.0%44.9%48.8%2.21+48.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide: Kamario Taylor Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+105)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Alabama Crimson Tide in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kamario Taylor Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Kamario Taylor finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (28 picks) 60.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing TDs 1.5 Under +105 ✗ MISS
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rush Attempts 11.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards 37.5 Over -115 ✗ MISS
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kamario Taylor (Mississippi State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 60.7% on tracked Kamario Taylor picks. The latest model pick for Kamario Taylor is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +48.8% on this pick. Their next game is Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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