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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Manning is Under 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 4:31PM UTC
NCAAF

Josh Manning

Kansas State

Value call

Josh Manning (Kansas State) has one live pick today: Receptions Under 3.5 that pays $198 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receptions Under 3.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
Value call
Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Sat 26 Sep, 11:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player pass yds overs: 152 of 249 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
2.1 Receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.3% · before adjusting for past results 79.0% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +1.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions79.0%52.3%50.5%2.12+31.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Cincinnati Bearcats vs Kansas State Wildcats: Josh Manning Under 3.5 Receptions (-102)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 26 September 2026, Cincinnati Bearcats host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Josh Manning Under 3.5 Receptions. This wins if Josh Manning finishes with fewer than 3.5 receptions. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Receptions 3.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Receiving Yards 42.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Receiving Yards 39.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Manning (Kansas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Manning is Under 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +31.2% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas State Wildcats vs Cincinnati Bearcats on Saturday 26 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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