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NCAAF

Jaron Tibbs

Kansas State

Value call

Jaron Tibbs (Kansas State) has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $181 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
5.2 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.4% · before adjusting for past results 84.7% · the book's price implies 55.2% · gap -2.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas Jayhawks @ Kansas State Wildcats
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Jaron Tibbs
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions Over 3.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.13 Odds-123
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaron Tibbs is Over 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 2:49AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 800 of 1,476 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions84.7%52.4%55.2%1.92+32.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Kansas State Wildcats vs Kansas Jayhawks: Jaron Tibbs Over 3.5 Receptions (-123)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Kansas State Wildcats host Kansas Jayhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jaron Tibbs Over 3.5 Receptions. This wins if Jaron Tibbs finishes with more than 3.5 receptions. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Tulane Green Wave @ Kansas State Wildcats Receptions 2.5 Over -172 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Tulane Green Wave @ Kansas State Wildcats Receptions 3.5 Over +124 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Tulane Green Wave @ Kansas State Wildcats Receiving Yards 35.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Houston Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats Receiving Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Houston Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats Receiving Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Houston Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaron Tibbs (Kansas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaron Tibbs is Over 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +32.8% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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