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NCAAF

Jason Wright

Buffalo

Value call

Jason Wright (Buffalo) has one live pick today: under 18.5 completed passes that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
14.5 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.6% · before adjusting for past results 97.1% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap -2.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals
Wed 11 Nov, 7:30 PM ET
Jason Wright
under 18.5 completed passes
Completions Under 18.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jason Wright is Under 18.5 on Completions.
On Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Completions97.1%50.6%53.5%1.98+46.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls: Jason Wright Under 18.5 Completions (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 12 November 2026, Ball State Cardinals host Buffalo Bulls in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jason Wright Under 18.5 Completions. This wins if Jason Wright finishes with fewer than 18.5 completed passes. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at Hard Rock Bet. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals Completions 18.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
11 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals Completions 17.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
11 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals Rushing Yards 21.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
11 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Passing TDs — — — Pending
03 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jason Wright (Buffalo) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jason Wright is Under 18.5 on Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +46.5% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals on Wednesday 11 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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