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NCAAF

Chance Morrow

Buffalo

Value call

Chance Morrow (Buffalo) has one live pick today: over 5.5 receptions that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
8.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.2% · before adjusting for past results 98.0% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap -3.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals
Wed 11 Nov, 7:30 PM ET
Chance Morrow
over 5.5 receptions
Receptions Over 5.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09 Odds-110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chance Morrow is Over 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:03PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions98.0%49.2%52.4%2.03+48.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/5

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AI Analysis

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Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls: Chance Morrow Over 5.5 Receptions (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 12 November 2026, Ball State Cardinals host Buffalo Bulls in college football. The bet we are looking at is Chance Morrow Over 5.5 Receptions. This wins if Chance Morrow finishes with more than 5.5 receptions. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals Receptions 5.5 Over -110 ✗ MISS
11 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals Receiving Yards 58.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
03 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Receiving Yards 42.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
03 Nov 26 Buffalo Bulls @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Western Michigan Broncos @ Buffalo Bulls Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chance Morrow (Buffalo) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chance Morrow is Over 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +48.8% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals on Wednesday 11 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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