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NCAAF

Duke Watson

UCF

Value call

Duke Watson has one live pick today: under 13.5 rushing attempts that pays $177 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
10.4 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.3% · before adjusting for past results 89.3% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap -5.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Duke Watson
under 13.5 rushing attempts
Rush Attempts Under 13.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.69 Odds-130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Duke Watson is Under 13.5 on Rush Attempts.
On Rush Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 1:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 238 of 409 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush Attempts89.3%51.3%56.5%1.97+38.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights: Duke Watson Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Oklahoma State Cowboys host UCF Knights in college football. The bet we are looking at is Duke Watson Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts. This wins if Duke Watson finishes with fewer than 13.5 rushing attempts. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 60.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Rush Attempts 13.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
10 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Rush Attempts 12.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
10 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Rushing Yards 69.5 Under -161 ✗ MISS
10 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Rushing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Rushing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Duke Watson (UCF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 60.0% on tracked Duke Watson picks. The latest model pick for Duke Watson is Under 13.5 on Rush Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +38.5% on this pick. Their next game is UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys on Saturday 10 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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