SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers (Los Angeles Angels -1.5 @ +220) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146) WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers (Los Angeles Angels -2.5 @ +350) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 76.4% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +652.0 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Player Props hitting 79.2% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +689.4 units this season WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +687.7 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.5% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +444.1 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: NBA Value hitting 76.5% over 30 days WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +780.4 units this season WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers (Los Angeles Angels -1.5 @ +220) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146) RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers (Los Angeles Angels -2.5 @ +350) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 76.4% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +652.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Player Props hitting 79.2% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +689.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +687.7 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.5% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +444.1 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: NBA Value hitting 76.5% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +780.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146)
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NBA

Walter Clayton Jr.

Memphis Grizzlies

+28.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 21.5 -118 (1.85)
+28.4% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Thu 9 Apr, 1:00AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+28.4%
Predicted Value
14.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Walter Clayton Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Memphis Grizzlies gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Walter Clayton Jr. But when you dig into the numbers, it becomes clear that targeting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists makes a lot of sense. In his last five games, Clayton Jr. has averaged just 11.6 points, 2.2 rebounds, and 6.6 assists-totaling about 20.4, which is already below that 21.5 mark. Even on the road, where he typically puts up 14.4 points, his overall production against the Nuggets is telling; he averages just 5 points and 2 rebounds against them. With a solid hit rate of 11 out of the last 14 for the under, it's hard to ignore the trajectory he's on. If he struggles to find his rhythm in Denver, we could see him well under that threshold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (14 picks) 35.7% (5/14)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts 21.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts 18.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -102 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Asts Pending
05 Apr 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Asts Pending
05 Apr 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Walter Clayton Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 14 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 35.7% (5/14). The latest model pick for Walter Clayton Jr. is Under 21.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.4% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets on Thursday 9 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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