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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Leonard Miller is Under 16.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 51%, edge +41.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:37PM UTC
NBA

Leonard Miller

Chicago Bulls

+41.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 16.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
+41.9% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
7.8 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.2% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +41.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points93.2%51.3%1.07+41.9%

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AI Analysis

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Leonard Miller (Chicago Bulls) Under 16.5 Points (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards prepare to host the Chicago Bulls, keep an eye on Leonard Miller's scoring output. With the line set at 16.5 points, it's hard to see him clearing that threshold, especially given his recent performance. Over his last five games, Miller has averaged just 13.6 points overall and 14 on the road. When facing the Bulls, he's managed a mere 2 points in their last meeting, and just 3 when playing away against them. His overall hitting rate has been impressive, but dig deeper, and you'll find that his away games show an even sharper trend, hitting the under 18 out of 20 times lately. Given these numbers, combined with the pressure of an away game, it feels like a solid play to back the under on Miller's points. With an expected stat value of just 7.85, it's hard to imagine him breaking out tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Leonard Miller — 2024-25 season averages

Over 15 games in the 2024-25 season, Leonard Miller averaged 1.5 points, 0.9 rebounds and 0.0 assists in 2.5 minutes per game, shooting 41.2% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

1.5
PPG
0.9
RPG
0.0
APG
0.1
SPG
0.1
BPG
2.5
MPG
41.2%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Leonard Miller — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Leonard Miller has played 2.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

2.0
MPG (L5)
0.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Leonard Miller — home vs away scoring

At home Leonard Miller averages 1.0 points per game; on the road, 1.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

1.0
PPG at home
1.8
PPG on the road

Leonard Miller — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Leonard Miller has averaged 1.4 points, 0.5 rebounds and 0.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
8 Mayvs GS3210
19 Apr@ LAL2010
10 Apr@ MEM1200
3 Apr@ BKN2000
30 Marvs DET2000
4 Marvs PHI3210
2 Mar@ PHX2200
13 Febvs OKC2000
10 Feb@ CLE5410
5 Febvs CHI1210
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Leonard Miller (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Leonard Miller is Under 16.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +41.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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