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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Leonard Miller is Under 16.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +42.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Leonard Miller

Chicago Bulls

+42.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 16.5 -104 (1.96)
+42.2% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
93.2%
Implied Probability
51.0%
Model Edge
+42.2%
Predicted Value
7.8 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points93.2%51.0%1.07+42.2%

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AI Analysis

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Leonard Miller (Chicago Bulls) Under 16.5 Points (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Wizards gear up to face the Bulls, Leonard Miller's scoring ability might not shine as bright as some expect. Averaging just 13.6 points over his last five outings, it's clear that he's been struggling to hit that 16.5 mark consistently. Even more telling, when you look at his performances against the Bulls, he's only managed to squeeze out an average of 2 points per game in their recent matchups, and just 3 in Chicago. With the pressure of an away game, Miller's scoring dips to 14 points per game, reinforcing the idea that he might not find his rhythm against a stout Bulls defense. His impressive hit rate of 18 out of 20 for the 'Under' on the road suggests that this trend is no fluke. Expect Miller to fall short of 16.5 points in this matchup, making the 'Under' a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
1.4avg · last 10
L50.8Szn1.5Home1.0Away1.8Best7
1+53%
6+7%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.4 · hi 4 · lo 0
2402200202

Leonard Miller is averaging 1.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.5, best 7). He clears 1+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
1.9avg · last 10
L51.2Szn2.3Home1.8Away2.7Best9
2+67%
7+7%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.9 · hi 5 · lo 0
3502300213

Leonard Miller is averaging 1.9 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.3, best 9). He clears 2+ in 67% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
0.5avg · last 10
L50.4Szn0.9Home0.8Away0.9Best3
1+60%
3+7%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 1 · lo 0
1100100011

Leonard Miller is averaging 0.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 3). He clears 1+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Points 16.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs 25.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs 26.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Rebounds Pending
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Points Pending
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Points Pending

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About This Player

Leonard Miller (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Leonard Miller is Under 16.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +42.2% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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