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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Benson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +13.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Will Benson

CIN

+13.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -286 (1.35)
+13.9% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Oakland Athletics
RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland, California · Outdoor
Sun 14 Sep, 2:05AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.9%
Implied Probability
74.1%
Model Edge
+13.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits87.9%74.1%1.14+13.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Will Benson (CIN) Under 1.5 Hits (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 1.5 bet for Will Benson is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Benson's overall and away batting averages have been low at 0.2 hits per game, well under the line of 1.5. This trend continues even when considering his plate appearances, with averages of 2.8 overall and 1.8 away, indicating a low hit rate. His performance against the Oakland Athletics also supports this bet, with an average of 0.7 hits over the last five games. Despite his impressive hit streaks, the low hit and plate appearance averages suggest Benson is unlikely to exceed 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. Therefore, the Under 1.5 bet is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg hits · L5
O 0.520%

Will Benson MLB hits: averaging 0.2 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg total bases · L5

Will Benson MLB total bases: averaging 0.2 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg H+R+RBI · L5

Will Benson MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 0.4 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg singles · L5

Will Benson MLB singles: averaging 0.2 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Will Benson MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Stolen BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg stolen bases · L5

Will Benson MLB stolen bases: averaging 0.2 stolen bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Will Benson (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Benson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Oakland Athletics on Sunday 14 September at RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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