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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Anderson is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:41PM UTC
MLB

Tyler Anderson

LAA

+3.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
+3.4% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Wed 6 Aug, 8:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.8%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+3.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed97.8%94.3%1.02+3.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Anderson (LAA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Tyler Anderson for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Anderson has averaged 3 hits allowed overall, and this increases to 4.6 hits when playing at home. Against the Tampa Bay Rays, his hits allowed average rises even further to 5. His innings pitched and outs averages remain relatively consistent across all scenarios, indicating that he typically allows a higher number of hits per game duration. Despite a current home hit streak of 0, his overall current hit streak is 1, implying that he is likely to allow hits in his upcoming games. Therefore, based on these statistics, it is statistically probable that Anderson will allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Rays.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak2L2085%
O 2.580%
O 3.570%
O 4.540%
O 5.530%
O 6.510%

Tyler Anderson MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 2.580%
O 3.550%
O 4.530%
O 5.540%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Tyler Anderson MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak3L2090%
O 0.580%
O 1.560%
O 2.560%
O 3.530%

Tyler Anderson MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.8avg earned runs · L5

Tyler Anderson MLB earned runs: averaging 1.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
15.6avg outs · L5
Streak2

Tyler Anderson MLB outs: averaging 15.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tyler Anderson (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Anderson is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday 6 August at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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