Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tomoyuki Sugano is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +28.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 11:11AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Under 6.5
-103 (1.97)
+28.9% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays
@
Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 7:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
50.8%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 79.6% | — | 50.8% | 1.26 | +28.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (-103)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Colorado Rockies play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (-103). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
3 markets livePitcher - Hits AllowedUpcoming gameU 6.5 -103 Tomoyuki Sugano MLB hits allowed. Current line U 6.5 at -103.
Pitcher - WalksUpcoming gameU 1.5 -115 Tomoyuki Sugano MLB walks. Current line U 1.5 at -115.
Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming gameU 3.5 -119 Tomoyuki Sugano MLB earned runs. Current line U 3.5 at -119.
Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tomoyuki Sugano is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies on Wednesday 5 August at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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