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The latest Bet Better model pick for Teoscar Hernandez is Under 3.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +19.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Teoscar Hernandez

LAD

+19.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Under 3.5 -167 (1.60)
+19.6% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 11 Sep, 2:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.1%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+19.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs82.1%—62.5%1.22+19.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) Under 3.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Teoscar Hernandez for Under 3.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. In the last five games, Hernandez's batting averages for hits, runs, and RBIs are all below the line of 3.5. His overall average (hits + runs + RBIs) is 1.6, at home it's 0.8, and against the Rockies it's 3.2. Additionally, Hernandez is currently not on a hit streak either overall or at home, which suggests he might be in a slump. Even his best recent performance against the Rockies doesn't reach the 3.5 line. Therefore, the statistical likelihood of Hernandez achieving over 3.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market is low, making the Under 3.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
0.8avg hits · L5
Streak2L2070%
O 0.570%
O 1.530%

Teoscar Hernandez MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
1.2avg total bases · L5
Streak2L2070%
O 0.570%
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Teoscar Hernandez MLB total bases: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.2 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Teoscar Hernandez MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
1.6avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2050%

Teoscar Hernandez MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.6 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.4avg singles · L5
L2050%

Teoscar Hernandez MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.4 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg doubles · L5
Streak2

Teoscar Hernandez MLB doubles: averaging 0.4 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Teoscar Hernandez is Under 3.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 11 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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