Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roki Sasaki is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +22.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:46PM UTC
MLB
Roki Sasaki
LAD
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Over 0.5
-120 (1.83)
+22.5% Edge
Baltimore Orioles
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun, 2:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
54.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 77.2% | — | 54.6% | 1.30 | +22.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Roki Sasaki (LAD) Over 0.5 Earned Runs (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Roki Sasaki MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Roki Sasaki (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roki Sasaki is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.5% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday 21 June at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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