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Roki Sasaki

MLB

Value call

Roki Sasaki has one live pick today: under 2.5 earned runs allowed that pays $182 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.1% · before adjusting for past results 55.6% · the book's price implies 54.9% · gap -3.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Wed 26 Aug, 7:15 PM ET
Roki Sasaki
under 2.5 earned runs allowed
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -122 (1.82) · $100→$182
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.20 Odds-122
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roki Sasaki is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 1:00PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs55.6%51.1%54.9%1.94+0.6%

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AI Analysis

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Roki Sasaki Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Roki Sasaki Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-122). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -122 ✗ MISS
26 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -143 ✗ MISS
19 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
13 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
13 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Roki Sasaki is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roki Sasaki is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves on Wednesday 26 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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