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The latest Bet Better model pick for Randal Grichuk is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +15.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 28, 9:53PM UTC
MLB

Randal Grichuk

COL

+15.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -154 (1.65)
+15.4% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Thu 9 Jul, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.0%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+15.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases76.0%—60.6%1.32+15.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Randal Grichuk (COL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Chicago White Sox take on the Boston Red Sox, all eyes will be on Randal Grichuk, but the smart money leans towards the under on his total bases. Grichuk has struggled to find consistency lately, hitting just .230 over his last 10 games. Facing a White Sox pitching staff that has shown resilience, particularly with their top arms, this may be a tough outing for him. Moreover, the Sox have limited opponents to a mere .250 average at home, showcasing their ability to neutralize power hitters. Grichuk's tendency to chase pitches outside the zone could play right into the hands of the White Sox’s crafty pitchers. With the model projecting only around 0.96 total bases for him, it's hard to see him breaking through that 1.5 mark today. Given these trends, the under feels like the savvy play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.510%
O 2.510%

Randal Grichuk MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%

Randal Grichuk MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Randal Grichuk MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.4avg H+R+RBI · L5

Randal Grichuk MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 1.4 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Randal Grichuk MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg singles · L5

Randal Grichuk MLB singles: averaging 0.2 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg doubles · L5

Randal Grichuk MLB doubles: averaging 0.4 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg walks · L5
O 0.520%

Randal Grichuk MLB walks: averaging 0.2 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -154 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Randal Grichuk (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randal Grichuk is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox on Thursday 9 July at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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