Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rafael Marchan is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On Batter - Doubles, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 83%, the price says 91%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Sep 28, 10:37PM UTC
MLB
Rafael Marchan
PHI
Rafael Marchan has one live pick today: Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 that pays $110 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles
Under 0.5
-1000 (1.10) · $100→$110
Houston Astros
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 125 of 217 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
0.0 Batter - Doubles
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 83.1% · before adjusting for past results 86.7% · the book's price implies 90.9% · gap -7.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Doubles | 86.7% | 83.1% | 90.9% | 1.18 | -4.2% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 2/9 |
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Rafael Marchan (PHI) Under 0.5 Doubles (-1000)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Rafael Marchan (PHI) Under 0.5 Doubles (-1000). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Rafael Marchan is averaging 0.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases
Rafael Marchan has gone over 0.5 total bases in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.540%
o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.510%
Home / away and opponent splits
Rafael Marchan is averaging 0.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.
Rafael Marchan (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rafael Marchan is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of -4.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 10 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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