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Luis Castillo

CIN

Value call

Luis Castillo has one live pick today: under 1.5 walks allowed that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.4% · before adjusting for past results 84.0% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +0.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Thu 3 Sep, 2:10 PM ET
Luis Castillo
under 1.5 walks allowed
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.50 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luis Castillo is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 4:23AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The White Sox placed Castillo on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a right shoulder impingement.
updated Sep 24, 6:14PM UTC · 17d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks84.0%54.4%54.1%1.95+30.0%

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AI Analysis

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Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-118). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Walks 2.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Luis Castillo (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luis Castillo is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +30.0% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros on Thursday 3 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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