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MLB

Kyle Freeland

COL

+5.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -385 (1.26)
+5.2% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver
Tue 19 Aug, 12:40AM
Model Probability
84.6%
Implied Probability
79.4%
Model Edge
+5.2%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Kyle Freeland (COL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Kyle Freeland's historical performance shows a tendency to allow walks, making the Over 0.5 in Pitcher Walks Allowed a strong bet. His last 5 overall games show an average of 0.6 walks allowed, while his last 5 home games have an even higher average of 0.8 walks. More importantly, when facing the Dodgers, his average walks allowed jumps to 1.8, three times higher than the line set for this bet. His current hit streak also indicates a pattern of allowing hits, which often correlates with walks. Although he averages around 5 innings per game, this should be sufficient time for at least one walk to occur, based on his averages. Therefore, the statistics suggest a high probability of this bet being successful.

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Pick History & Track Record

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