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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyle Freeland is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 50%, implied 51%, edge +25.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 5.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 26, 3:53PM UTC
MLB

Kyle Freeland

COL

+25.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+25.0% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Thu 20 Aug, 12:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 933 of 1,879 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Rockies placed Freeland on the 15-day injured list Monday due to cervical radiculopathy.
updated Aug 24, 7:18PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.1% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +25.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts76.1%50.5%51.0%2.10+25.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Kyle Freeland (COL) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kyle Freeland (COL) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-104). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.62 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Kyle Freeland is averaging 6.0 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

6.0
Hits
0.2
HR
0.0
RBI
3.2
Runs
0.6
Walks
3.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Kyle Freeland has gone over 2.5 SO in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Kyle Freeland is averaging 6.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 6.8 in home games, including his recent form against LAD.

6.0
Hits · Overall
6.8
Hits · Home
6.0
Hits · vs LAD
0.2
HR · Overall
1.4
HR · Home
1.2
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under -104 ✗ MISS
20 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -185 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under +114 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Walks Pending
15 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
08 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Kyle Freeland (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyle Freeland is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.0% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies on Thursday 20 August at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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