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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jorge Soler is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +7.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 20, 3:54AM UTC
MLB

Jorge Soler

SFG

+7.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -185 (1.54)
+7.5% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 8:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.4%
Implied Probability
64.9%
Model Edge
+7.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases72.4%64.9%1.38+7.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Jorge Soler (SFG) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Los Angeles Angels face off against the Detroit Tigers, all eyes will be on Jorge Soler, but a closer look suggests he might struggle to reach over 1.5 total bases today. Despite Soler’s explosive power, he’s been held in check recently, managing just a single hit across his last few games against right-handed pitchers, which is significant given the Tigers' starter's impressive form. Detroit’s ace has shown an ability to dominate against sluggers, striking out nearly a quarter of batters he faces while limiting extra-base hits effectively. Additionally, Soler tends to thrive at home, but with the Angels' lineup struggling for consistency in recent series, he might not get the pitches he needs. Given these dynamics, betting the under on Soler's total bases feels like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
71%hit L10
O 0.571%

Jorge Soler MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 71% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.529%
O 2.514%
O 3.514%

Jorge Soler MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%

Jorge Soler MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
71%hit L10
O 0.571%
O 1.529%
O 2.514%

Jorge Soler MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 71% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%

Jorge Soler MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.529%

Jorge Soler MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.543%

Jorge Soler MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -185 ✗ MISS
24 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - RBIs 1.5 Under -1000 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jorge Soler (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jorge Soler is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 19 July at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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