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Jake Rogers

DET

+12.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -625 (1.16)
+12.4% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics
RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland
Thu 28 Aug, 2:05AM
Model Probability
98.6%
Implied Probability
86.2%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Jake Rogers (DET) Under 1.5 Walks (-625)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Jake Rogers for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is statistically justifiable based on his recent performance data. His last five games' overall and away batting walk averages are 0.6 and 0.4 respectively, both significantly lower than the line of 1.5. His plate appearances don't suggest a high likelihood of drawing more walks either, with averages of 3.6 overall and 3.8 away, indicating he's not getting a significant number of opportunities to draw walks. Even against the Athletics, his walk average is only 1. His current hit streak is zero, suggesting he's not in top form. However, his away hit streak is 12, indicating he's more likely to hit than draw walks when playing away. This data combined suggests a low probability of Rogers drawing more than 1.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Athletics.

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Pick History & Track Record

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