Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Hunter Greene is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +21.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:29PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-130 (1.77) · $100→$177
+21.1% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
OUT
Reds president of baseball operations Nick Krall said Friday that Greene has been diagnosed with a partial UCL tear in his right elbow and will undergo surgery next week, Brian Giesenschlag of Reds Live reports.
updated Aug 7, 8:20PM UTC · 2d old
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Implied Probability
56.5%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 77.6% | — | 56.5% | 1.29 | +21.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 2/10 |
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Hunter Greene (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Cincinnati Reds play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Hunter Greene (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-130). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.570%
O 5.560%
O 6.560%
O 7.550%
O 8.510%
O 9.510%
Hunter Greene MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.580%
O 2.560%
O 3.540%
O 4.520%
O 5.520%
Hunter Greene MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.5100%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%
Hunter Greene MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Hunter Greene MLB earned runs: averaging 1.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Hunter Greene MLB outs: cleared over 16.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 18.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Hunter Greene (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hunter Greene is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.1% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds on Saturday 1 August at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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