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The latest Bet Better model pick for Hunter Greene is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 95%, for a model edge of +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Hunter Greene

CIN

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+2.9% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Wed 1 Oct, 1:08AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.1%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed98.1%—95.2%1.02+2.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Hunter Greene (CIN) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for choosing Over 1.5 for Hunter Greene in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is rooted in his recent performance data. In his last five games, Greene has averaged 3.6 hits allowed overall, and this number increases to 3.8 when he is playing away. More importantly, when facing the Dodgers, his hits allowed average jumps to 5.8. This trend is consistent with his current hit streak of 5 overall and 2 away. Additionally, his average innings pitched (IP) and outs are not significantly different, whether he's playing at home or away, or against the Dodgers. This suggests that Greene's performance is less influenced by location or specific opponents, and more by his own pitching consistency. Given these statistics, it is reasonable to expect that Greene will allow more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Dodgers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak49L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.570%
O 5.560%
O 6.560%
O 7.550%
O 8.510%
O 9.510%

Hunter Greene MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak5L2090%
O 1.580%
O 2.560%
O 3.540%
O 4.520%
O 5.520%

Hunter Greene MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak16L2095%
O 0.5100%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%

Hunter Greene MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.6avg earned runs · L5

Hunter Greene MLB earned runs: averaging 1.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
18.4avg outs · L5
L2065%

Hunter Greene MLB outs: cleared over 16.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 18.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Hunter Greene (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hunter Greene is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday 1 October at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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