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The latest Bet Better model pick for Edward Cabrera is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 66%, edge +26.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
MLB

Edward Cabrera

MIA

+26.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 2.5 -196 (1.51) · $100→$151
+26.3% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Sun 5 Apr, 5:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Cabrera (blister) has resumed a throwing program, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
updated Aug 28, 4:16PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 92.5% · the book's price implies 66.2% · gap +26.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks92.5%66.2%1.08+26.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Edward Cabrera (MIA) Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Guardians take on the Chicago Cubs, keep an eye on Edward Cabrera's performance on the mound. Cabrera has been a revelation lately, showing a refined command that’s helped him limit walks significantly—he's averaging just over a walk per game this season. The Guardians' disciplined approach at the plate won’t push him into wild territory; they’ve been consistent at making pitchers work but aren't known for overly aggressive swings that could lead to free passes. Furthermore, with the Cubs’ lineup struggling against right-handed pitchers, Cabrera’s ability to control the game should shine through. His recent outings reflect a strong trend of keeping walks to a minimum, and with the line set at 2.5, taking the under feels like a savvy play. Expect Cabrera to continue his trajectory of precision, making this a compelling bet as the Guardians aim for a strong home showing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Edward Cabrera is averaging 4.2 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.2
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
4.0
Runs
2.8
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Edward Cabrera has gone over 2.5 SO in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.5100%
o3.570%
o4.570%
o5.550%
o6.530%
o7.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Edward Cabrera is averaging 4.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.6 in away games, including his recent form against PHI.

4.2
Hits · Overall
4.6
Hits · Away
4.2
Hits · vs PHI
0.8
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Away
0.6
HR · vs PHI
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Edward Cabrera (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Edward Cabrera is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians on Sunday 5 April at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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