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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dean Kremer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 53%, implied 57%, edge +2.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 3, 3:14PM UTC
MLB

Dean Kremer

BAL

+2.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -133 (1.75) · $100→$175
+2.1% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Wed 2 Sep, 11:40PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs DET @ MIN
updated Sep 2, 11:40PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
59 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 59.2% · the book's price implies 57.1% · gap +2.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs59.2%52.9%57.1%1.89+2.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers: Dean Kremer Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Minnesota Twins have been solid at home this season, winning 37 of their 70 games. They've been decent against left-handed pitchers, but they face off against Dean Kremer, who has shown he can keep runs down. Kremer has a knack for limiting walks and has averaged only 1 walk allowed across his last 10 games. On the flip side, the Detroit Tigers are struggling, having won just 2 of their last 10 games. Their hitting against lefties isn't much better than what the Twins have done, so it may be tough for them to score. With Kremer's ability to keep runs low, this bet on him allowing fewer than 2.5 earned runs seems like a good shot, even if it's a close matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Dean Kremer is averaging 7.2 hits, 1.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

7.2
Hits
1.4
HR
0.0
RBI
4.2
Runs
0.8
Walks
3.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Dean Kremer has gone over 1.5 SO in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.550%
o2.520%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Dean Kremer is averaging 7.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 7.0 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.

7.2
Hits · Overall
7.0
Hits · Away
4.4
Hits · vs NYY
1.4
HR · Overall
1.4
HR · Away
1.2
HR · vs NYY
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
02 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dean Kremer (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dean Kremer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins on Wednesday 2 September at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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