Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dean Kremer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 54%, edge +20.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 7:31PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-116 (1.86) · $100→$186
+20.1% Edge
Baltimore Orioles
@
Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 574 of 1,083 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
74 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 73.8% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +20.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 73.8% | — | 53.8% | 1.35 | +20.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Dean Kremer (BAL) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-116)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Minnesota Twins play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Dean Kremer (BAL) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-116). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.62 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Dean Kremer is averaging 7.2 hits, 1.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Hit-rate ladder: H
Dean Kremer has gone over 2.5 H in 90% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.590%
o3.580%
o4.570%
o5.550%
o6.540%
o7.530%
o8.510%
Home / away and opponent splits
Dean Kremer is averaging 7.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 7.0 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.
Dean Kremer (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dean Kremer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.1% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins on Monday 10 August at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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