Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor Prielipp is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 48%, implied 51%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 7:50AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-105 (1.95) · $100→$195
+2.3% Edge
Minnesota Twins
@
Athletics
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
54 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 53.6% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +2.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 53.6% | 48.4% | 51.3% | 2.05 | +2.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Connor Prielipp Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Athletics play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Connor Prielipp Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Connor Prielipp is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Prielipp is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Athletics on Thursday 27 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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