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The latest Bet Better model pick for Clarke Schmidt is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 95%, implied 92%, edge +3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
MLB

Clarke Schmidt

NYY

+3.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -1111 (1.09) · $100→$109
+3.4% Edge
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sat 17 May, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Schmidt (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Somerset on Saturday, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
updated Aug 29, 4:23PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
95 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 95.2% · the book's price implies 91.7% · gap +3.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks95.2%—91.7%1.05+3.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Clarke Schmidt (NYY) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Clarke Schmidt for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is backed by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Schmidt has an average of 2.6 walks allowed overall and 2 walks allowed at home. Against the Mets, his walks allowed average increases to 3. This suggests a tendency to give away more walks, especially against this specific opponent. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs averages are relatively low, indicating he often doesn't stay long in the game. This could potentially lead to more pressure on Schmidt, increasing the likelihood of walks. His current hit streak of 9 overall and 4 at home also shows a pattern of allowing hits, which could translate into walks. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Over 0.5 for Schmidt's walks allowed is a reasonable choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Clarke Schmidt is averaging 4.8 hits, 0.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.8
Hits
0.6
HR
0.0
RBI
3.6
Runs
2.6
Walks
5.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Clarke Schmidt has gone over 2.5 H in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.5100%
o3.570%
o4.530%
o5.520%
o6.510%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Clarke Schmidt is averaging 4.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.6 in away games, including his recent form against TOR.

4.8
Hits · Overall
4.6
Hits · Away
3.0
Hits · vs TOR
0.6
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
0.8
HR · vs TOR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Clarke Schmidt (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Clarke Schmidt is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs New York Yankees on Saturday 17 May at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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