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The latest Bet Better model pick for Clarke Schmidt is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +14.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Clarke Schmidt

NYY

+14.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 3.5 -345 (1.29)
+14.5% Edge
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sat 17 May, 5:05PM
OUT
Schmidt (elbow) will throw live batting practice Saturday, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.
updated Jul 17, 8:08PM UTC · 3d old
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Model Probability
92.0%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+14.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts92.0%77.5%1.09+14.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Clarke Schmidt (NYY) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Clarke Schmidt's performance data indicates a strong rationale for betting over 3.5 on pitcher strikeouts. His overall average strikeouts in the last five games is 5.6, which is significantly above the line of 3.5. Despite the fact that his strikeouts against the Mets specifically are lower, his overall performance suggests he is capable of achieving more than 3.5 strikeouts. Furthermore, his home performance is also strong, with an average of 5 strikeouts in the last five games. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest a high level of engagement in the game, which could lead to more strikeout opportunities. The current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further strengthen the case for Schmidt's capability to exceed the line. Therefore, based on his consistent performance and current form, betting over 3.5 on Schmidt's strikeouts is a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2090%
O 2.580%
O 3.580%
O 4.580%
O 5.560%
O 6.540%
O 7.510%

Clarke Schmidt MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak32L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.570%
O 4.530%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%

Clarke Schmidt MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak9L2075%
O 0.590%
O 1.560%
O 2.540%
O 3.510%

Clarke Schmidt MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
3.2avg earned runs · L5
Streak4

Clarke Schmidt MLB earned runs: averaging 3.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
14.4avg outs · L5

Clarke Schmidt MLB outs: averaging 14.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Clarke Schmidt (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Clarke Schmidt is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs New York Yankees on Saturday 17 May at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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