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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chas McCormick is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +1.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Chas McCormick

HOU

+1.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1250 (1.08)
+1.2% Edge
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Wed 21 May, 5:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
93.8%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases93.8%92.6%1.07+1.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Chas McCormick (HOU) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chas McCormick's statistics indicate a low probability of achieving a stolen base in the upcoming game. His last five overall batting average for stolen bases is 0.2, which is less than the line set at 0.5. Furthermore, his stolen base average when playing away games and against the Tampa Bay Rays drops to 0. This implies that McCormick's performance in stealing bases tends to decline in away games and particularly against the Rays. Additionally, the average number of times McCormick has been caught stealing in away games is 0.2, suggesting a risk in attempting to steal bases. Lastly, his current hit streak, although impressive, does not directly correlate with his ability to steal bases. Therefore, the data-driven analysis suggests betting on Chas McCormick for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Chas McCormick MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Stolen BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg stolen bases · L5

Chas McCormick MLB stolen bases: averaging 0.2 stolen bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chas McCormick (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chas McCormick is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday 21 May at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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