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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Johnson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 100%, versus the book's implied 95%, for a model edge of +4.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:41PM UTC
MLB

Bryce Johnson

MLB

+4.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+4.8% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Wed 10 Jun, 8:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
100.0%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+4.8%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases100.0%95.2%+4.8%

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AI Analysis

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Bryce Johnson (NA) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres gear up to face the Reds, all eyes will be on Bryce Johnson, but betting on him to swipe more than 1.5 bases seems a stretch. Johnson has shown flashes of speed, yet he’s been mired in a slump lately, with only a handful of attempts in his last few outings. The Padres’ aggressive approach to base running has cooled, particularly with the Reds' pitching staff managing to keep opponents’ running games in check. Cincinnati's pitchers, particularly their right-handers, have been adept at holding runners close, with impressive pickoff moves and solid delivery times. Plus, the Padres’ recent trend of playing conservatively with base runners suggests they might prioritize scoring over stealing. With the implications of a low success rate and a focus on cautious play, taking the under on Bryce Johnson’s stolen bases feels like the savvy move here.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bryce Johnson is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Johnson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres on Wednesday 10 June at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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