Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Young is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 7:08PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-156 (1.64)
+9.7% Edge
Los Angeles Angels
@
Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 4:35PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs LAA @ BAL
updated Aug 6, 4:35PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
61.0%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 70.7% | — | 61.0% | 1.42 | +9.7% |
See every market's calibrated edge
Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.
Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
See the full 20-game form curve
Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Brandon Young (BAL) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-156)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Baltimore Orioles play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Young (BAL) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-156). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%
O 5.510%
Brandon Young MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Brandon Young (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Young is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles on Thursday 6 August at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.