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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bailey Ober is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 2, 10:49AM UTC
MLB

Bailey Ober

MIN

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -103 (1.97) · $100→$197
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 50.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs50.8%2.06

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox: Bailey Ober Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Bailey Ober is pitching for the Minnesota Twins at home, where they have been a bit better than on the road this season. The Chicago White Sox have done well against left-handed pitchers, but Ober has been solid lately, allowing runs at a rate just above average. He has also been effective at limiting hits, averaging only a few in his recent outings. While the White Sox can score runs, Ober's recent form gives him a good chance to keep the earned runs under 2.5. The most concrete risk here is that Ober might face a tough inning from a team that has been hitting lefties well. Still, with the way he has pitched, there's a decent shot he can hold them back.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Bailey Ober is averaging 5.8 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.8
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
2.8
Runs
1.4
Walks
4.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Bailey Ober has gone over 2.5 SO in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.5100%
o3.590%
o4.570%
o5.550%
o6.530%
o7.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Bailey Ober is averaging 5.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.8 in home games, including his recent form against DET.

5.8
Hits · Overall
5.8
Hits · Home
3.4
Hits · vs DET
1.0
HR · Overall
1.0
HR · Home
0.4
HR · vs DET
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Walks Pending
18 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
17 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Bailey Ober (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bailey Ober is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins on Saturday 29 August at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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