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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alika Williams is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +7.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 28, 8:20AM UTC
MLB

Alika Williams

MLB

+7.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -345 (1.29)
+7.3% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Athletics
Wed 29 Jul, 1:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.8%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+7.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases84.8%—77.5%1.18+7.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Alika Williams (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics gear up to face the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Alika Williams, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. The young infielder has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled recently against pitchers with a high strikeout rate, and the Red Sox' starter has been just that. Williams’ recent performance against righties has been underwhelming, and with a lineup that has had its ups and downs, he’s likely to find himself challenged. The A's have hit a rut offensively, generating limited run support and struggling to find gaps against quality arms. Given the matchup and his current form, the under on his total bases feels like a smart play. With a model prediction of just 0.64 and an implied probability of 77.5%, this bet aligns well with the current trends on the diamond.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -345+7.3% edge

Alika Williams MLB total bases. Current line U 1.5 at -345 (+7.3% model edge).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Alika Williams is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alika Williams is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Athletics on Wednesday 29 July. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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