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The latest Bet Better model pick for Adam Frazier is Under 1.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 87%, for a model edge of +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
MLB

Adam Frazier

PIT

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 1.5 -667 (1.15)
+10.6% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 1:38AM
OUT
Frazier (elbow) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Salt Lake on Sunday, going 0-for-3 with two strikeouts.
updated Jul 20, 1:17PM UTC · 1d old
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Model Probability
97.6%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs97.6%87.0%1.02+10.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Adam Frazier (PIT) Under 1.5 RBIs (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels host the Padres, all eyes will be on Adam Frazier. While he’s a solid hitter, recent trends suggest he might struggle to drive in runs today. The Padres have faced a tough stretch against right-handed pitching, and with the Angels throwing a dynamic arm, Frazier could find himself limited in opportunities. He’s managed just a handful of RBIs in his last several games, and with the Angels' bullpen tightening up in high-leverage situations, the chances of him crossing home plate with an RBI dwindle. Furthermore, the Padres' line-up depth means Frazier may not bat in the most favorable spots. If he’s not driving in runs, the under on his 1.5 RBIs is looking quite appealing. Expect a gritty matchup, but Frazier's path to knocking in runs seems obstructed today. Keep an eye on this one as the game unfolds!

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%

Adam Frazier MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Adam Frazier (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Adam Frazier is Under 1.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 19 April at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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