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MLB predictions for Thursday, September 24: Over 4 runs in Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners

11 MLB games on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is Over 4 runs, a HIGH-confidence call.

By Samantha Chen · Published Sep 23, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Sep 24, 11:33 PM ET

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Thursday, September 24. See today's MLB predictions

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

Thu Sep 24, 12:35 PM ET
Our pick: Over 7 runs-105

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been on a roll lately, winning five of their last six games at home.

Full St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates preview →

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

Thu Sep 24, 2:10 PM ET
Our pick: Royals to win+110

LEAN — about a 4 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Kansas City Royals have been struggling lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and just 1 of their last 6.

Full Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals preview →

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs

Thu Sep 24, 2:20 PM ET
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs preview →

New York Mets at Texas Rangers

Thu Sep 24, 2:35 PM ET
New York Mets at Texas Rangers · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full New York Mets at Texas Rangers preview →

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

Thu Sep 24, 3:10 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies preview →

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies

Thu Sep 24, 6:05 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies preview →

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox

Thu Sep 24, 6:45 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox preview →

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

Thu Sep 24, 7:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees preview →

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves

Thu Sep 24, 7:15 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves preview →

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners

Thu Sep 24, 9:40 PM ET
Top pick: Over 4 runs+110

HIGH — about a 9 in 10 chance by our numbers

Full Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners preview →

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

Thu Sep 24, 10:10 PM ET
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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